Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.756516e-05 3.296404e-05 0.000039 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061 0.000071
2025-05-18 2.113563e-05 2.822124e-05 0.000036 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089
2025-05-25 1.498038e-05 2.234490e-05 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000077 0.000099
2025-06-01 1.111176e-05 1.844135e-05 0.000028 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081 0.000109
2025-06-08 8.781999e-06 1.609456e-05 0.000026 0.000041 0.000062 0.000088 0.000122
2025-06-15 6.915774e-06 1.402041e-05 0.000025 0.000041 0.000063 0.000093 0.000133
2025-06-22 5.213301e-06 1.182550e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000096 0.000141
2025-06-29 3.784920e-06 9.743539e-06 0.000020 0.000037 0.000062 0.000097 0.000147
2025-07-06 2.653229e-06 7.887316e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000061 0.000098 0.000151
2025-07-13 2.010147e-06 6.819225e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000061 0.000101 0.000159
2025-07-20 1.542780e-06 5.988398e-06 0.000015 0.000033 0.000062 0.000105 0.000168
2025-07-27 1.243325e-06 5.465100e-06 0.000015 0.000033 0.000064 0.000110 0.000180
2025-08-03 1.059007e-06 5.311666e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000071 0.000123 0.000204
2025-08-10 7.932299e-07 4.792613e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000075 0.000134 0.000224
2025-08-17 4.247633e-07 3.614172e-06 0.000013 0.000034 0.000073 0.000135 0.000231
2025-08-24 2.270288e-07 2.825960e-06 0.000012 0.000033 0.000073 0.000138 0.000242
2025-08-31 1.314267e-07 2.373407e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000075 0.000144 0.000257
2025-09-07 6.757048e-08 1.953641e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000076 0.000150 0.000272
2025-09-14 2.498979e-08 1.496984e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000076 0.000153 0.000282
2025-09-21 5.395861e-09 1.081162e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000154 0.000289
2025-09-28 2.968840e-10 7.398252e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000072 0.000153 0.000294
2025-10-05 8.982464e-14 5.641544e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000072 0.000158 0.000306
2025-10-12 NaN 4.376299e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000073 0.000162 0.000319